Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.004119 0.004327 0.004541 0.004777 0.005030 0.005295 0.005592
2025-11-16 0.003738 0.004042 0.004366 0.004740 0.005162 0.005623 0.006169
2025-11-23 0.003511 0.003870 0.004265 0.004733 0.005278 0.005896 0.006655
2025-11-30 0.003301 0.003692 0.004132 0.004665 0.005302 0.006044 0.006985
2025-12-07 0.003134 0.003549 0.004023 0.004610 0.005325 0.006180 0.007294
2025-12-14 0.003017 0.003454 0.003962 0.004602 0.005398 0.006371 0.007673
2025-12-21 0.002849 0.003289 0.003807 0.004468 0.005305 0.006345 0.007766
2025-12-28 0.002772 0.003229 0.003773 0.004480 0.005390 0.006544 0.008158
2026-01-04 0.002719 0.003195 0.003770 0.004528 0.005519 0.006802 0.008640
2026-01-11 0.002636 0.003120 0.003710 0.004498 0.005543 0.006920 0.008933
2026-01-18 0.002568 0.003061 0.003669 0.004489 0.005593 0.007072 0.009279
2026-01-25 0.002495 0.002992 0.003610 0.004454 0.005605 0.007168 0.009548
2026-02-01 0.002469 0.002984 0.003631 0.004525 0.005764 0.007481 0.010156
2026-02-08 0.002402 0.002919 0.003574 0.004490 0.005776 0.007583 0.010453
2026-02-15 0.002350 0.002872 0.003540 0.004483 0.005824 0.007739 0.010841
2026-02-22 0.002279 0.002798 0.003468 0.004421 0.005789 0.007768 0.011028
2026-03-01 0.002216 0.002734 0.003405 0.004369 0.005767 0.007815 0.011243
2026-03-08 0.002174 0.002695 0.003376 0.004362 0.005809 0.007958 0.011625
2026-03-15 0.002090 0.002599 0.003266 0.004238 0.005673 0.007822 0.011529
2026-03-22 0.002060 0.002573 0.003252 0.004249 0.005739 0.008001 0.011978
2026-03-29 0.002042 0.002564 0.003260 0.004293 0.005855 0.008264 0.012589
2026-04-05 0.002000 0.002522 0.003221 0.004265 0.005859 0.008347 0.012887
2026-04-12 0.001967 0.002490 0.003195 0.004257 0.005893 0.008480 0.013282